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Did Prediction Market Traders See It Coming? Big Wins and Bigger Losses Follow Iran Strike

Did Prediction Market Traders See It Coming? Big Wins and Bigger Losses Follow Iran StrikePrediction markets are crackling with activity after the United States, in coordination with Israel, carried out major airstrikes against Iran. At present, traders are pricing in a 46% probability that the Iranian regime will fall by June 30, and following the latest strike, it emerged that several market participants pocketed gains by calling the timing […]

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